What Will Happen? Brees has proven throughout his career, and in the 2011 regular season, that he is one of the best quarterbacks in the league when it comes . You dont think ~90 gifs are enough for you to evaluate his opinion on whats an accurate vs inaccurate throw? Grading Every Teams Performance in the 2023 NFL Draft. Without any further digressions, here is how the leagues quarterbacks graded on deep passes, passes thrown at least 20 yards downfield, in 2019. Brees resents the implication that this development will prevent the Saints from contending. energy, but Fitzpatrick was actually uncharacteristically conservative last year. Plays where the receiver catches the ball but has it knocked out of his hands. Obviously things won't line up 100%, but some things I noticed: Different amount of 16yard+ attempts. In that August story about Brees's. Completion percentage is a highly valued stat in football, and while that's included in the Deep Ball Project, a greater emphasis is played on accuracy percentage. In 2017, he was 7-for-15 on such throws. 3fg%. Defends its Crown, 2022 Failed Completions: Justin Herbert Aims for the Record, XFL Week 6 Preview: Houston and D.C. in a Prime-Time Special, I do not want to be trollish or dismissive, Re: I do not want to be trollish or dismissive, Playoff Previews (previously Game Previews), 2017-18 Deep Ball Project: Throws of 16-Plus Air Yards, 2017-18 Deep Ball Project: Accuracy Percentage by Distance (Ranking in Parentheses), 2017-18 Deep Ball Project: Accuracy Percentage by Scenarios (Ranking in Parentheses), 2017-18 Deep Ball Project: Situational Rate Splits (Ranking in Parentheses). Theres not much to like about Haskins numbers from his rookie season except the mitigating circumstances that he was really without many viable passing targets, with only really rookie Terry McLaurin showing up reliably. Cousins overall deep numbers werent spectacular, but when he hit on a shot it tended to be an absolute dime. In short, he was a lot of fun to watch and chart, as his accuracy across the boards was phenomenal. Joe Flacco was 32nd in both clean pockets and under pressure. Or 1257 yards for the first 60 attempts and 8.1 yards per attemp for the remaining 78. Making it under pressure or in a tight window adds one point to make it seven. As Brees is close to catching Manning in some records thought I would put a comparison together between the two Qbs. Even then, however, Smith wasn't the most surprisingly good downfield passer of 2017. How tall is Drew Lock? Going back to 2006, the earliest season for which ESPN has data on air yards, only one QB threw a shorter average pass than Breess 5.80 mark this year: Alex Smith of the Kansas City Chiefs in 2014, whose average pass traveled just 5.58 yards through the air. Stroud Falls to Colts in GTM's Final Mock Draft, Aaron Rodgers and the Jets: Low Floor, Low Ceiling, QBASE 2023: Why Bryce Young Tops C.J. Get complete game-by-game stats for quarterback Drew Brees on ESPN. The Day Kansas City Drafted Patrick Mahomes, Aidan O'Connell, Tanner McKee, and the Day 3 QBs, Jaxon Smith-Njigba Highlights Deep Class of WRs, Most Undervalued Players in a 2023 Fantasy Football Draft, Colts Take Will Levis in Latest Mock Draft. Burrow Brees Garoppolo Watson Herbert Cousins Murray Prescott Bridgewater Mahomes Pennington Ryan Warner Manning Rodgers Romo Rivers Wilson Carr Roethlisberger Brady Young 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 68.2 67.7 67.6 67.0 66.9 66.8 66.8 66.6 . Unlike previous New Orleans teams, which depended on Brees to essentially win games by himself, the Saints are constructed to win in a world where Brees cant get the ball deep. (Matt Ryan is proof that quarterbacks can throw interceptions that aren't on them.). Its not that Derek Carr is bad at passing deep, its just that it seems to be near impossible to convince him to try it. Some of it comes down to Kamaras unique talent as a receiver; no other running back is even close to being as valuable a pass catcher, according to Football Outsiders Defense-adjusted Yards Above Replacement metric. New Orleans Saints (52) Get the latest updated stats for quarterback Drew Brees on ESPN. The Real Reason Presidential Candidates Form Exploratory Committees, Oct. 29, 2020, NFL footage NFL Productions LLC. This is an anecdote, this isn't analysis. Dialing back his aggressiveness actually seemed to help his efficiency, though his PFF grade doesnt match the output, thanks in large part to DeVante Parker Mossing players like Stephon Gilmore down the stretch. Even Mason Rudolph, who only started eight games, had six more deep shots than Garoppolo did all year. Question, Comment, Feedback, or Correction? Question, Comment, Feedback, or Correction? Drew Brees played 287 games over his career. Steph Curry Snuffed Out the Beam. If there are others out there to compare to I'd love to read them to get a wider range of opinions. Starter could be replaced for performance reasons. But two games into the 2020 season, its clear that his arm is no longer with us. Our reasoning for presenting offensive logos. Drew Brees Career Stats | NFL.com Players Injuries Transactions Health & Safety NFL+ X NFL+ Draft Room Rhett Lewis is joined by Marc Ross, David Shaw and Cynthia Frelund to predict picks. Find out more. Derek Carr's quality of play takes a massive drop when he is not given clean pockets. The Giants will be hoping that having his receiving corps healthy and together will help in Year 2. Todd McShay breaks down the Eagles' draft that netted them Jalen Carter and Nolan Smith among others. Drew Brees NFL News & Stats. Trubisky completed just 34.4% of his deep shots for only 10.4 yards per attempt, and thats with Allen Robinson II winning jump balls at a high rate. You'd think those would more closely line up if every play was looked at. Now Hell Face LeBron and the Lakers. And after a long stretch of finishing last or second to last in critical defensive stats, New Orleanss defense is actually capable of winning the team games now. Prescott threw for the third-most yards on these plays and had the third-most completions. We have tools and resources that can help you use sports data. Steelers, Rams Set Offensive Line Continuity Records, XFL Week 7 Preview: St. Louis, Houston Scrap for Second, Most Overvalued Players in a 2023 Fantasy Football Draft, Rams Limp to the Front of 2022's DVOA Underachievers, XFL Week 6 Review: D.C. On 84 attempts. Stafford has 1614 adjusted yards in 86 attempts. And using a fanboard of evidence of anything is silly. After Henderson, the team drafted Kenny Stills, who ran a 4.38 40-yard dash. For what it's worth, though, he handled the change to a vertical offense really well. How big of a role did Sean Payton play in Drew . 3pg. Brissett hit 51.5 percent of his deep throws (21+ yards), 16.1 percent above the league average (4th highest overall), but too often those big plays were ruined by one of his receivers. Sometimes the only way to have chance at a completion, due to the coverage, is to force the receiver to adjust to the ball. Tom Brady was slightly below average, which isn't really that surprising. Watch our How-To Videos to Become a Stathead, Subscribe to Stathead and get access to more data than you can imagine. . Find out more. Drew Brees. Subscribe to Stathead Football: Get your first month FREEYour All-Access Ticket to the Pro Football Reference Database. Exclusive Premium Content For Subscribers. Drew Brees had 80,358 passing yards over his career. In addition to the efficiency score, are the situational splits (play action, open window, tight window, etc.) ), Fewest air yards per pass attempt and smallest share of attempts that went 20+ yards in the air for qualified NFL passers, 2006-2020. looked back at the QBs career attempts to targets deeper than 35 yards downfield. Career Stats: Brees: 249 Games, 66.9% completion, 70,445 yards, 488TDs, 228 Ints, QB Rating 96.7. Big shock coming from a Bill Belichick-coached offense, I know. Only four quarterbacks had more big-time throws on deep shots than Mayfields 23, but those plays resulted in just seven touchdowns. This year, only three of Brees's 68 attempts have been deeper than 20 yards, a rate of 4.4 percent. My Wish 2007 Drew Brees - Devan Muller meets Drew Brees, Brees fires up LSU baseball with old Saints hype speech. He had just 48 deep attempts last season, which was one of the lower deep shot rates (9.4%) in the league. The only other comprehensive accuracy charting I know of is Cian Faheys Pre-Snap Reads books (if you know of more, I love this stuff so let me know). Clutch Yes. Our exclusive database, featuring the most in-depth collection of NFL player performance data. Still, he can say he ranked one spot higher in efficiency than Tom Brady. But so far this season, Brees has generally ignored Sanders, who has just four catches for 37 yards. Brissett had awful deep passing numbers despite having multiple players who could run blazing 40-yard dash times, and thats a big reason the team has pivoted to Rivers at the position for 2020. Instagram: had a passer rating of 97.1 with 8,695 yards, 54 touchdowns and 27 interceptions in 29 games against the. Suddenly, Smith was throwing the ball downfield more consistently. And as expected, he couldn't even compare to Aaron Rodgers. Its the appendage that has carried Brees through a spectacular 20-year NFL career, earning him a Super Bowl championship and the all-time records for passing yards, completions, and completion percentage. Even McLaurin was responsible for dropping one of Haskins best passes, which would have moved the needle on his numbers given his low sample size, but the PFF grade accounts for that, and the grade was also bad. (Was there THAT big of a difference in 15/16 yard "hard to tell" discrepancies? From Joe Burrow to Chase Young, which players from the class of 2020 had their options picked up or declined? I'm not sure I disagree with your overall feeling - but the problem with your argument is its all based on completion percentage. Football Outsiders' Scott Kacsmar even named a specific statistic after Smith, measuring how aggressive or conservative quarterbacks were on third down. What saved his grade was his solid accuracy on throws of 40-plus yards, under pressure, and into tight windows. Let us assume for a second that Brisset actually had 39 completions and not 22. Game flow and situation can only account for so much, and the Colts will be desperately hoping that isnt an indicator of his arm just being cooked. Plus Andrew Callahan on the Pats Draft, and a Preview of Celtics-Sixers With Raheem Palmer. Good for 21 yards per deep ball attempt. After all the passes are tallied up, the final number of points is divided by the amount of downfield passes. ", http://presnapreads.com/2018/03/25/quarterback-tiers-and-rankings-based-exclusively-on-the-2017-season/. His accuracy was really good under pressure (ranking ninth-highest), and he had the most passing attempts and yards of any quarterback. Plays where the receiver catches the ball but can't control the ball as he hits the ground. I dont get it. also new for 2017-18? That is as goosd as the top yards/attemp QB for the entire season (Drew Brees). Allen needs to find the touch to go with that cannon because its frankly inexcusable that a player with his kind of arm talent is this bad at passing deep. Starter is currently injured and may not play. He managed this despite playing with some of the least efficient receivers of 2017 (even Delanie Walker let him down) as well as being in a Mike Mularkey offense that gave him great protection but very few open windows. From a Colts fan perspective, I don't remember their being complaints about Brissett's deep ball. 7,142 Drew Brees 6,300 Brett Favre NFL All-Time Career QB Rushing Leader 6,109 Michael Vick 5,628 Cam Newton 4,982 Randall Cunningham As talented as quarterbacks are throwing the ball, there are also a select few that were able to run with it as well. And, just looking through Stampede Blue a Colts fan site, I could find no praise of Brissett as a deep passer and a fair amount of criticism. Now that Ginn is gone, the Saints have Emmanuel Sanders, who ran a 4.39 40-yard dash and got open over the top in last years Super Bowl as a member of the 49ers. Jeff Legwold explains why the Broncos picked up Jerry Jeudy's rookie option. How many games does Drew Lock play? Maybe Kinsley appraises film clinically, without being influenced by personal (or other) biases, but how are we supposed to know? Penalty Disciplined. The Saints QB may be the greatest statistical passer of all time, but at this point in his career, his deep passes leave something (OK, a lot) to be desired. Recent stars like Carson Wentz and Deshaun Watson don't grade out nearly as well as people think due to the fact that both had poor accuracy on deep passes, to all depths. Drew Brees weighed 209 lbs (94 kg) when playing. Is Arizona Cardinals' Kyler Murray the best high school QB from Texas? Because some of the accuracy percentages achieved by the subjective grading system are radically different from the percentages based on straightforward completions/attempts. Every passing list Lamar Jackson finds himself in the middle of this offseason is a massive win for both him and the Ravens, given where he started from as a passer. His accuracy into open windows was horrible and he took poor care of the ball downfield, getting lucky on passes that should have been picked off. 87 Deep Ball 92 West Coast . Alex Smith's efficiency score was sixth. I love detailed breakdowns like this (boy, did I find this way late - guess this is for anyone else who also reads this late). The person most acutely aware of this decline seems to be Brees. Ryan Tannehill of the Titans, for instance, doesnt go deep much more often than Brees, and he is also having a very good season. No, 90 gifs are unquestionably NOT sufficient when they're spread out over 30+ players. A lot of it has to do with coach Sean Payton and offensive coordinator Pete Carmichael engineering efficient throws: According to the NFLs Next Gen Stats, 51 percent of Breess passes this season have been characterized as open or wide-open, meaning no defender was within 3 yards of the pass target when it arrived; only three qualified passers (Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen and Jimmy Garoppolo) made more of their throws to receivers so lightly covered.2. Birth Year: 1979. Primary running backs to lead an NFL team in receiving yards in a season since 2006, with team ranks in expected points added (EPA). Coming in at No. Below are Drew Brees's stats with the Chargers from 2001-2005: *2004 was the season Brees was selected to the Pro Bowl and won Comeback Player of the Year Pittsburgh is undefeated and has dominated with its defense, though Ben Roethlisberger (Elos 13th-ranked QB) may be starting to show his age after below-average games in three of his past four starts. Though he didn't have the lowest accuracy percentage, the inaccurate completions, interceptions, and dropped picks severely lowered Keenum's efficiency score. Heading into the 2019 season, we thought Carson Wentz might have the best receiving corps in the league to throw to. Were previewing the conference semifinals by answering one burning question about every matchup. With CeeDee Lamb added to the mix this year, he could appear even higher on this list come next season. But something changed in 2017. Henderson, who was already in New Orleans when Brees arrived, was the first. Failed to recognize receivers running wide open down the seam.". Explore sample content below to see what you're missing. 80,358. (The All-Pro has been injured since Week 1.). Of course a QB could also be overly-aggressive or a poor decision-maker. All logos are the trademark & property of their owners and not Sports Reference LLC. (Only Jimmy Garoppolo was lower.) The downside was that only Philip Rivers had more negative plays than Mayfield on these passes, as the 2017 Heisman Trophy winner ended the season with nine turnover-worthy plays and seven interceptions. Your bad arguments and bad attitude undermine a potentially valid point. During Sunday night's highlights show, Brees did a breakdown of the Packers-Saints highlights and marveled at the big arm that new Saints QB Jameis Winston showed off during the 38-3 win over the. Steals Per Game. After Cooks, the Saints traded for Ted Ginn, who ran a 4.38 40-yard dash. ex: Jimmy Garoppolo was 25 spots better for John (& 24.9% better accuracy). There is a wider variety of scenarios that play into accurate passes aside from the typical uncontested drop. In reply to Re: The Deep Ball Project by ramirez. Ryan Tannehills arrival last season changed the teams fortunes and transformed the Titans offense. Breess dominance isnt just defined by his place on all-time leaderboards, though, but rather by how many spots he occupies: He has four of the top six passing yardage seasons of all time and five of the top six completion percentage seasons.